2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida

Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Donald Trump (Republican)Won30 EV · 56.1% · 6,110,125
Kamala Harris (Democratic)43.0% · 4,683,038
Jill Stein (Green)0.4% · 43,155
Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.3% · 31,972

Donald Trump by 13.1 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: fec-2024-president

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Donald Trump 5Kamala Harris 1· 6 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Donald Trump7 picks · won
Kamala Harris1 pick · lost

Every claim about this race (13)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.

Tim Miller: Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Rising (The Hill): Kamala Harris wins FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Miss · 0
Seth Keshel: Donald Trump: between twelve and fifteen points in FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Harrison Lavelle: Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) — “Likely Republican”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Harrison Lavelle: Donald Trump: expand their margin in Florida relative to 2020 in FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Pending
Clay Travis: Donald Trump: double digits in FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
David Pakman: Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) — “most likely, Florida is gone to Trump”
Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Erick-Woods Erickson: Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Carl Cannon: Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Clay Travis: Donald Trump: by let's say eight or more points in FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 24, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Erick-Woods Erickson: Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Erick-Woods Erickson: Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 22, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 100
Steve Deace: Donald Trump: eight to 12 points in FL's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 22, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take
Hit · 89