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Super Bowl Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
278
Graded
137

49% settled

Average accuracy
34.3

out of 100

Pundits
121

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
33 scored 80+76 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

137 / 278

graded

141 still pending

By season

  • 20201 of 1 graded
  • 20221 of 1 graded
  • 20231 of 1 graded
  • 202423 of 23 graded
  • 2025111 of 111 graded
  • 20260 of 141 graded

Who is good at super bowl picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every super bowl picks take

251–275 of 278

  • Miss · 0Chad Ochocinco JohnsonSuper Bowl Picks2025 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

    I think he's gonna be all right, and I honestly think there's a good chance. That they might repeat. But being at the commanders have gotten better, being that Dallas has gotten better

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jun 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Rich EisenSuper Bowl Picks2025 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the Super Bowl

    I do think I do think Dax gonna win you that suit.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid May 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    I like Kansas City in this game. But you know I say this without a ton of conviction... I think you're going to get a classic super Bowl, super Bowl fifty nine.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 9, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Richard ShermanSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    But until you beat the champs, I gotta go with the champs... I can't bet against Kansas City. So I'm going with Kansas City.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 8, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    So here is my pick for the Philadelphia Kansas City Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus one and a half. I like Kansas City and here's why.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Rich EisenSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    I predicted on our show ... that the Kansas City Chiefs would in fact be the three pea champions of this league. And I saw it then, and I'm seeing it now.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Paul PabstSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

    twenty seven to twenty four Eagles in overtime

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Marvin PrinceSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    Chiefs win thirty one to twenty seven. Mahomes MVP.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Seton O'ConnorSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

    I'm actually going Eagles over the Chiefs. I want to say blowout, but I'm actually gonna say it's gonna be a close game.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Dan PatrickSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    ThReD Pete Chiefs again. Patrick Mahomes MV pick final score thirty one to thirty.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Todd FritzSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    Cry Eagles Cry twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    We know this is going to be a coach, a Spags Fangio Reid Mahomes Hurts Nick Siriani game. And that's why I favor Kansas City.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Feb 5, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    Kansas City is favored by one and a half points. That would have been close to my guests, like, I like Kansas City. I like Kansas City in the Super Bowl. I think they match up really well with Philadelphia.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Jan 26, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    This team, this is in what world? Unless you're a diehard Eagles guy? Do you not envision this team winning the Super Bowl? Because I can't. I just don't envision them losing any of these games.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Jan 26, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

    But I've been on the Bills for a month to win the Super Bowl. The winner of this game, in my opinion, hoist the Lombardi Trophy.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 24, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

    I did have the Bills winning the Super Bowl this year, so I'm I am invested.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 24, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

    I think the Bills are gonna win next week, and I think they're gonna win the super Bowl.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

    I picked the Bills to win the Super Bowl before the season... I feel good about sticking with my preseason pick, and I do pick the Bills.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 17, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Peter SchragerSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    I am not backing away from my Super Bowl pick is usually pretty good. I got the Chiefs winning at all this year. We'll see if that happens.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Jan 11, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Peter SchragerSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    I am not backing away from my super Bowl pick is usually pretty good. I got the Chiefs winning it all this year.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

    I would say health there's five teams that can win the Super Bowl. Lions, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravensville's

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Detroit Lions to win the Super Bowl

    I would say health there's five teams that can win the Super Bowl. Lions, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravensville's

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    I would say health there's five teams that can win the Super Bowl. Lions, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravensville's

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

    I would say health there's five teams that can win the Super Bowl. Lions, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravensville's

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffSuper Bowl Picks2024 season

    Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl

    I would say health there's five teams that can win the Super Bowl. Lions, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravensville's

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 7, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — super bowl picks (139 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.