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Super Bowl Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
278
Graded
137

49% settled

Average accuracy
34.3

out of 100

Pundits
121

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
33 scored 80+76 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

137 / 278

graded

141 still pending

By season

  • 20201 of 1 graded
  • 20221 of 1 graded
  • 20231 of 1 graded
  • 202423 of 23 graded
  • 2025111 of 111 graded
  • 20260 of 141 graded

Who is good at super bowl picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every super bowl picks take

276–278 of 278

By sport

NFL — super bowl picks (139 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.