2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin

Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Donald Trump (Republican)Won10 EV · 49.6% · 1,697,626
Kamala Harris (Democratic)48.7% · 1,668,229
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent)0.5% · 17,740
Jill Stein (Green)0.4% · 12,275
Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.3% · 10,511
Cornel West (Independent)0.1% · 2,753

Donald Trump by 0.9 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · flipped · source: fec-2024-president

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Kamala Harris 9Donald Trump 4· 13 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Kamala Harris12 picks · lost
Donald Trump5 picks · won

Every claim about this race (17)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Robby Soave: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Spencer Kimball: Donald Trump wins WI's presidential vote (2024) — “anything in Wisconsin that's tied, the conventional wisdom is that Trump will take it”
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Hit · 100
Sean Spicer: Donald Trump wins WI's presidential vote (2024) — “I feel very good about Wisconsin”
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Hit · 100
Ryan Grim: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Emily Jashinsky: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Spencer Kimball: Donald Trump wins WI's presidential vote (2024) — “anything in Wisconsin that's tied, the conventional wisdom is that Trump will will take it”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024) — “keep it by about twenty twenty margins”
Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Steve Deace: Donald Trump wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites”
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
Bill Scher: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0
David Pakman: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 22, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take
Miss · 0