Chamber Control
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 102
- Graded
- 53
- Average accuracy
- 79.2
- Pundits
- 44
52% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
53 / 102
graded
49 still pending
By season
- 202453 of 53 graded
- 20260 of 49 graded
Who is good at chamber control
- Sarah McCammon100 accuracy · 2 graded+102.0
- Rachel Bitterkofer100 accuracy · 1 graded+102.0
- David French100 accuracy · 1 graded+102.0
- Dan Turrentine100 accuracy · 1 graded+102.0
- Steve Deace Show100 accuracy · 1 graded+101.0
- Mark Sutton100 accuracy · 1 graded+101.0
- Tim Miller100 accuracy · 1 graded+101.0
- Steve Deace100 accuracy · 3 graded+100.7
- Nathan Gonzales100 accuracy · 2 graded+100.5
- Sean Trende100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Carl Cannon100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Steve Bannon100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Clay Travis100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Logan Phillips100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Newt Gingrich100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Jacob Rubashkin100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Megyn Kelly100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- David Pakman100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Erick-Woods Erickson100 accuracy · 3 graded+75.0
- Matthew Yglesias100 accuracy · 2 graded+50.5
- Isaac Saul67 accuracy · 3 graded+34.7
- Daniel Horowitz100 accuracy · 3 graded+25.5
- Lakshya Jain50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Kirk Bado50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Gabe Fleisher50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Bret Stephens50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Andrew Heaton50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Justin Robert Young50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Bill Scher50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Michael Cohen50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Henry Olsen100 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Sam Wang0 accuracy · 1 graded-100.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The NPR Politics Podcast100.0 · 2 graded
- Tangle (newsletter)100.0 · 1 graded
- The David Pakman Show100.0 · 2 graded
- The Inside Elections Podcast100.0 · 3 graded
- RealClearPolitics Podcast100.0 · 2 graded
- Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar100.0 · 1 graded
- Newt's World100.0 · 1 graded
- The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show100.0 · 1 graded
- The Bulwark Podcast (feed title: The Bulwark Daily)87.5 · 4 graded
- Steve Deace Show100.0 · 7 graded
- Erick Erickson newsletter (Substack)100.0 · 3 graded
- The Megyn Kelly Show100.0 · 4 graded
- Slow Boring100.0 · 2 graded
- Politics Politics Politics (Justin Robert Young)55.0 · 13 graded
- Tangle (podcast)50.0 · 2 graded
- Split Ticket50.0 · 4 graded
- Princeton Election Consortium (Sam Wang)0.0 · 1 graded
Every chamber control take
26–50 of 102
your forecast, which currently shows Democrats with a 60% chance of winning the senate and an 88% chance of winning the house
if you actually ask me what I think is gonna happen, I'm, like, pretty sure the Republicans hold it
your forecast, which currently shows Democrats with a 60% chance of winning the senate and an 88% chance of winning the house
Democrats will come out of this with a fifty one forty nine senate majority
I think the house is probably gone. Doesn't mean you shouldn't work hard for your individual member of congress that you like.
I think Democrats are going to have a good night. I think they're going to do pretty well. I think the House is pretty much like a foregone conclusion.
- PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
the Democrats ... are now favored (at a 7-in-10 chance) to flip the Senate
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
According to our election forecast at FiftyPlusOne.news, the Democrats are almost a sure bet to win back control of the House
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026 - PendingState of the Union (CNN)Chamber Control2026 season
Do I think we're gonna lose the senate right now? Probably not.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 27, 2026 - PendingState of the Union (CNN)Chamber Control2026 season
The house, I prove I feel pretty good about. ... So I think we'll win the house, we could win the senate
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 27, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
According to Elliott's election model, Democrats now have about a 70% chance of winning complete control of Congress this November.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
according to my election forecasting model, the Republicans now look all but certain, really, to lose their house majority this November
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
And there's a better than even odds of them losing the senate too. In fact, according to the 50 plus one election model, Democrats have about a 70% chance of controlling both chambers after November.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
According to Elliott's election model, Democrats now have about a 70% chance of winning complete control of Congress this November.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026 Win in name only... that is where I would probably be as well. [scenario: Democrats take the house by 15 seats or under and Republicans keep the senate]
Then we have win in name only. This is Democrats take the house by 15 seats or under and Republicans keep the senate... that is where I would probably be as well.
I think right now, I will say democratic house, slim republican senate.
I think right now, I will say democratic house, slim republican senate.
- PendingChuck ToddChamber Control2026 season
if Democrats don't win control of the House in this midterm... No, I wouldn't either... It's sort of like, this feels like a given. It's hard to imagine it's not.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 21, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
Debiased expert ratings suggest Democrats are 83% to win the House
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 18, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
Our model at FiftyPlusOne has Democrats at a median of 238 House seats and a 98% chance of the majority.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 18, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
and a 65% chance in the Senate, where polls have moved toward Democrats in most competitive states
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
The 50+1 forecast now gives Democrats a 97% chance of winning the House , up sharply from where it stood in prior weeks
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2026 - PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season
this chart shows the democratic chance of taking the house from increasing from eight to 10 to 97% near, you know, nearly a sure thing
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2026 the Republican Party will control the United States Senate... it is now safe to say the GOP will be in charge of the Senate.
By topic
US Elections — chamber control (53 graded)
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