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Chamber Control

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
102
Graded
53

52% settled

Average accuracy
79.2

out of 100

Pundits
44

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
42 scored 80+11 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

53 / 102

graded

49 still pending

By season

  • 202453 of 53 graded
  • 20260 of 49 graded

Who is good at chamber control

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every chamber control take

26–50 of 102

  • PendingLakshya JainChamber Control2026 season

    your forecast, which currently shows Democrats with a 60% chance of winning the senate and an 88% chance of winning the house

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingLakshya JainChamber Control2026 season

    if you actually ask me what I think is gonna happen, I'm, like, pretty sure the Republicans hold it

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingLakshya JainChamber Control2026 season

    your forecast, which currently shows Democrats with a 60% chance of winning the senate and an 88% chance of winning the house

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingSteve DeaceChamber Control2026 season

    Democrats will come out of this with a fifty one forty nine senate majority

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingSteve DeaceChamber Control2026 season

    I think the house is probably gone. Doesn't mean you shouldn't work hard for your individual member of congress that you like.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingKrystal BallChamber Control2026 season

    I think Democrats are going to have a good night. I think they're going to do pretty well. I think the House is pretty much like a foregone conclusion.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    the Democrats ... are now favored (at a 7-in-10 chance) to flip the Senate

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    According to our election forecast at FiftyPlusOne.news, the Democrats are almost a sure bet to win back control of the House

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026
  • PendingState of the Union (CNN)Chamber Control2026 season

    Do I think we're gonna lose the senate right now? Probably not.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 27, 2026
  • PendingState of the Union (CNN)Chamber Control2026 season

    The house, I prove I feel pretty good about. ... So I think we'll win the house, we could win the senate

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 27, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    According to Elliott's election model, Democrats now have about a 70% chance of winning complete control of Congress this November.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    according to my election forecasting model, the Republicans now look all but certain, really, to lose their house majority this November

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    And there's a better than even odds of them losing the senate too. In fact, according to the 50 plus one election model, Democrats have about a 70% chance of controlling both chambers after November.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    According to Elliott's election model, Democrats now have about a 70% chance of winning complete control of Congress this November.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026
  • PendingJustin Robert YoungChamber Control2026 season

    Win in name only... that is where I would probably be as well. [scenario: Democrats take the house by 15 seats or under and Republicans keep the senate]

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin Robert YoungChamber Control2026 season

    Then we have win in name only. This is Democrats take the house by 15 seats or under and Republicans keep the senate... that is where I would probably be as well.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingGabe FleisherChamber Control2026 season

    I think right now, I will say democratic house, slim republican senate.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingGabe FleisherChamber Control2026 season

    I think right now, I will say democratic house, slim republican senate.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingChuck ToddChamber Control2026 season

    if Democrats don't win control of the House in this midterm... No, I wouldn't either... It's sort of like, this feels like a given. It's hard to imagine it's not.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 21, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    Debiased expert ratings suggest Democrats are 83% to win the House

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 18, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    Our model at FiftyPlusOne has Democrats at a median of 238 House seats and a 98% chance of the majority.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 18, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    and a 65% chance in the Senate, where polls have moved toward Democrats in most competitive states

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    The 50+1 forecast now gives Democrats a 97% chance of winning the House , up sharply from where it stood in prior weeks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2026
  • PendingG. Elliott MorrisChamber Control2026 season

    this chart shows the democratic chance of taking the house from increasing from eight to 10 to 97% near, you know, nearly a sure thing

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2026
  • Hit · 100Erick-Woods EricksonChamber Control2024 season

    the Republican Party will control the United States Senate... it is now safe to say the GOP will be in charge of the Senate.

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Nov 6, 2024the article →

By topic

US Elections — chamber control (53 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.