Chamber Control
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 102
- Graded
- 53
- Average accuracy
- 79.2
- Pundits
- 44
52% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
53 / 102
graded
49 still pending
By season
- 202453 of 53 graded
- 20260 of 49 graded
Who is good at chamber control
- Sarah McCammon100 accuracy · 2 graded+102.0
- Rachel Bitterkofer100 accuracy · 1 graded+102.0
- David French100 accuracy · 1 graded+102.0
- Dan Turrentine100 accuracy · 1 graded+102.0
- Steve Deace Show100 accuracy · 1 graded+101.0
- Mark Sutton100 accuracy · 1 graded+101.0
- Tim Miller100 accuracy · 1 graded+101.0
- Steve Deace100 accuracy · 3 graded+100.7
- Nathan Gonzales100 accuracy · 2 graded+100.5
- Sean Trende100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Carl Cannon100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Steve Bannon100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Clay Travis100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Logan Phillips100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Newt Gingrich100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Jacob Rubashkin100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Megyn Kelly100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- David Pakman100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Erick-Woods Erickson100 accuracy · 3 graded+75.0
- Matthew Yglesias100 accuracy · 2 graded+50.5
- Isaac Saul67 accuracy · 3 graded+34.7
- Daniel Horowitz100 accuracy · 3 graded+25.5
- Lakshya Jain50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Kirk Bado50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Gabe Fleisher50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Bret Stephens50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Andrew Heaton50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Justin Robert Young50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Bill Scher50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Michael Cohen50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Henry Olsen100 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Sam Wang0 accuracy · 1 graded-100.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The NPR Politics Podcast100.0 · 2 graded
- Tangle (newsletter)100.0 · 1 graded
- The David Pakman Show100.0 · 2 graded
- The Inside Elections Podcast100.0 · 3 graded
- RealClearPolitics Podcast100.0 · 2 graded
- Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar100.0 · 1 graded
- Newt's World100.0 · 1 graded
- The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show100.0 · 1 graded
- The Bulwark Podcast (feed title: The Bulwark Daily)87.5 · 4 graded
- Steve Deace Show100.0 · 7 graded
- Erick Erickson newsletter (Substack)100.0 · 3 graded
- The Megyn Kelly Show100.0 · 4 graded
- Slow Boring100.0 · 2 graded
- Politics Politics Politics (Justin Robert Young)55.0 · 13 graded
- Tangle (podcast)50.0 · 2 graded
- Split Ticket50.0 · 4 graded
- Princeton Election Consortium (Sam Wang)0.0 · 1 graded
Every chamber control take
76–100 of 102
She wins the presidency narrowly. Democrats win the house narrowly. But because of the map, Republicans take the senate... I'd say most likely would be... I I I do think Harris' slight edge.
That Republicans, I think, end up with a minimum of 52. ... So I have Republicans finishing, with 54 US senators
I mean, I think it's a pretty comfortable analysis to say that Republicans will have the majority.
In practice, the odds of Democrats winning congressional majorities are minuscule, so this probably won't actually matter.
In practice, the odds of Democrats winning congressional majorities are minuscule, so this probably won't actually matter.
Our Senate update should come as no surprise, as Republicans remain significant favorites to flip the chamber.
Democrats remain marginally favored to flip the chamber, but at 52%, this race is tighter than ever before... we'd probably pick the Democrats if we had to
Ranking how certain we are about outcomes in the twenty twenty four elections, a Republican controlled senate, I think is the most... It's not a guarantee, but it's it's the most certain
I think 52 is the lowest number of Republicans in the Senate after this election. I think the floor is now 52.
she'll have a six three Supreme Court against her. She's gonna have a fifty one forty nine Republican Senate at best.
my prognostication is the house will flip to the Democrats and the Senate will flip to Republicans. ... Maybe maybe the senate, which seems likely.
my prognostication is the house will flip to the Democrats and the Senate will flip to Republicans
The only thing that I'm fairly confident on is I do think the Republicans will take the senate. I think that just the the map looks very favorable to them.
Democrats win the house. Republicans win the senate.
I think the Democrats will probably take the house, but it'll be by, like, two votes. Excuse me. By by two two seats.
Democrats win the house. Republicans win the senate.
So in the senate, I'm very bearish. I don't... I feel like we're not gonna make it because we chose to run old strategies.
You do know that Kamala Harris has been moving towards us? That, you know, this is not 2019 anymore. This is a very different situation. And she'll have Republican Senate and a Republican Supreme Court
And it's worth noting, you know, it it looks like Republicans have a very good chance of regaining control of the senate.
They're pulling ahead of Republicans battleground senate races, but will likely lose their majority because of how many seats they're defending.
I think it's really a question of how far to the Republicans does it go.
The house the house they have at 50.2% right now, the markets do. ... So you know, it should be it should be closer to 60% they keep it. ... I'm gonna hold on the house, but I disagree with the market.
The current senate market is 83.3% that the GOP takes the senate. You're gonna buy on that? Buy. ... So definitely buy.
They are polling ahead of Republicans in battleground Senate races (but will likely lose their majority because of how many seats they are defending)
He he wins the White House, Republicans flip the senate
By topic
US Elections — chamber control (53 graded)
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