Race Winners

I think the momentum is toward Trump. And I think if if I were one of the... Had to be one of the candidates, I'd rather be Donald Trump in this race.

It looks like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are are... definitely leaning Trump. Those are three states in which I think he has a very solid chance of winning.

it looks like Pennsylvania should go towards Trump, and that would suggest he would have some success on election night... that's why we see that, you know, Pennsylvania as a toss-up, slightly leaning towards Trump

Maybe it falls in between those two numbers, but it seems to be leaning towards Trump at this time.

It looks like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are are... definitely leaning Trump. Those are three states in which I think he has a very solid chance of winning.

I I do agree with Stu that the race seems... The momentum seems to favor Trump... If if you wanted to be the two candidates right now, who would you rather be? And I and I I think I would rather be Trump.

And Nevada, remarkably Spencer, seems so far to be leaning Republican.

Now the race is much tighter. It's about a half a point. I still think it leans towards Harris, but Trump has made up a lot of ground... that's a state where I think the Democrats can still hold it.

It looks like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are are... I don't wanna say trumps, but are definitely leaning Trump. Those are three states in which I think he has a very solid chance of winning.

So to me, anything in Wisconsin that's tied, the conventional wisdom is that Trump will will take it because we're underrepresenting.

a realization setting in that he is likely to win on Tuesday, as the early voting numbers continue to be in Republican favor.

I still think Trump's gonna win, to be clear, and I think the Democrats realize that too.

I know... I think we're gonna win, and I'm gonna be extremely happy. And I I know though just because of how mercurial he is, how mercurial some of the people he'll appoint will be, there are going to be days, you know, probably start in late January, where I'm going to come in here, alright, and pop a blood vessel.

First of all, I mean, taking a very pragmatic approach, Virginia is likely to go blue regardless of the voter purges that are going on. Virginia is unlikely to be the deciding state.

And, like, I can have a gut feeling. My gut is that Trump wins, but my gut doesn't mean anything.

So my long winded answer is I would say it's a complete toss-up still with a slight Trump edge.

it looks like Trump has enough momentum in Georgia and Arizona that he likely carries it over the finish line in those particular states

it looks like Trump has enough momentum in Georgia and Arizona that he likely carries it over the finish line in those particular states

So my one piece of advice to, to Donald Trump ... before you accept that concession call from Kamala Harris, go ahead and give Joe a ring and thank him. / It played at the Donald Trump rally. The president and future president of The United States picked up, smile it style clip

Kamala Harris has a forty five point three percent chance of winning the electoral college... It's basically fifty five forty five Trump or fifty four forty five with a small chance of a tie.

and a seventy one point four percent probability of winning the popular vote

I said to Smug today, I think the Democrats, when they line up, I think Trump's gonna win. The Democrats are gonna line up to run-in 2028

So I think sadly, we are stuck with the worst elder millennial for quite a while now, no matter what happens, but he will be sad next week.

Yes. He'll be sad next week when we're living in that Coconut Grove, and I appreciate everybody that, is gonna help make that happen.

It's looking like North Carolina's out of reach for Kamala.