Race Winners

he's gonna flip back Arizona... because he's gonna take, Nevada and Arizona and Georgia

Arizona is very likely. ... So Arizona, you know, looks as though that is going to be, a walkaway for for Trump.

Trump takes all the Sun Belt states. He takes North Carolina. He takes Georgia. I think both those are very likely.

I'm gonna I'm gonna say slight advantage Trump. And if I had to put out my map right now... ... here is best case scenario for Donald Trump, and I think it it actually is gonna materialize tonight.

I think that he sneaks Nevada in there. ... I'd be a little surprised if he doesn't win Nevada.

And then you get to the Rust Belt states. I think Trump... You ready for this? I think Trump's gonna win all of them. ... Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, those states look more like Ohio than they do like Virginia

As far as West Virginia, that, of course, the senate seat that that is going to go to the Republicans, that that would be Jim Justice, who's gonna win that senate seat pretty easily.

I think Moreno takes that seat. I think Sherrod Brown goes home.

I think Eric Hovde, who's the senatorial candidate in Wisconsin who is running extremely strong in Wisconsin right now, I think Hovde wins that race.

By the way, I think that Dave McCormack in Pennsylvania wins that race based on the early voting numbers.

There's certain states that I didn't give to Trump in this map. I didn't give Trump Virginia. Virginia is trending blue. It is not trending red.

I think Trump's gonna win all of them. ... And as for Wisconsin, Wisconsin is a notoriously difficult state to poll.

I think Trump's gonna win all of them. ... Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, those states look more like Ohio than they do like Virginia, meaning I believe that they are trending red.

Georgia, of course, a big swing state. I think that one is in Trump's camp. I think he's going to win that.

Y’all, I cannot believe I am writing this, but Trump just might carry Kari Lake across the finish line.

I’m increasingly convinced Trump might win Nevada.

Also, don’t be surprised if Eric Hovde and/or Dave McCormack win.

Also, don’t be surprised if Eric Hovde and/or Dave McCormack win.

the real reason I bet against it with Pa and with North Carolina was some different demographic reasons

I was at around this map for a while and the real reason I bet against it with Pa and with North Carolina was some different demographic reasons

Ryan was this your mount basically. / More or less. I think I had Nevada going to Trump.

But based on the trend lines of early voting and the behaviors of the campaigns, I think Trump still has the edge. Again, as I noted yesterday, he has many more paths to 270 votes than she does

I think the death of a famous animal in this country, I don't... Predicts a Trump victory... Harambe cut down in his prime, and then Donald Trump becomes president of The United States. I think we're gonna see that again.

we've got a big senate race in Indiana with Jim Banks who's likely to become a next senator there. Not a pickup opportunity, but absolutely vitally important that Republicans do well there... we expect to win this thing

And then you got the four Democrat leaners, which I'm calling New Mexico, Virginia, New Hampshire, and Minnesota.